Seminar on nuclear arms and the Middle-East
Think Tank e2 participated in the “Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control in the Middle East” seminar, held on 22.10.2009. The speakers at the event included
Mr. Mohamed I. Shaker, Vice Chairman of the Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs
Mr. Mahmood Ahmadi, Research Affiliate, Simons Centre on Disarmament & Non-Proliferation, University of British Columbia
Dr. Avner Cohen, Public Policy Scholar, Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars
Summary of the Seminar
Professor Raimo Väyrynen, Director of the Finnish Institute of International Affairs opened the event by welcoming the discussant and participants. He pointed out that the “Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control in the Middle East” panel discussion is the opening event of the FIIA organized 3-day conference on Nuclear Weapons, arms control and Non-proliferation. Väyrynen welcomed Dr. Hiski Haukkala the president of the co-organizer Finnish International Studies Association.
In his opening words Dr. Hiski Haukkala stressed the importance of nuclear arms control for international security. He welcomed the panelists, participants and moderator of the event, Professor Robert Johansen from the Krock Institute.
Prof. Robert Johansen opened the panel discussion and underlined the importance of the topic. He welcomed the highly experienced panelists.
In his presentation Mr. Mohamed I. Shaker offered his view of the situation of nuclear arms control and of other arms of mass destruction in the Middle East. He noted that the Israeli possession of nuclear weapons has greatly influenced the climate towards nuclear weapons and the behavior of the other states in the area. The nuclear threat and uncertainty created by Israel’s acquisition of nuclear weapons forced the regional countries to respond. He stressed the Egyptian role in the Arab nuclear free zone project started in the 1970s.
Despite the recent Middle Eastern “nuclear renaissance” generated by the Iranian nuclear program, he remained confident of the successful future of the nuclear free zone and disarmament processes, under certain preconditions. He noted that the Obama administration has created new vivacity and positive winds in the area of nuclear arms control. The overall tone of Shakers presentation was hopeful and positive toward the future of nuclear arms control in the area.
In his presentation Mr. Mahmood Ahmadi provided insight on the relationship between the Iranian nuclear program and the Iranian people’s attitude towards it. Mr. Ahmadi has been conducting research on the Iranian people’s reactions and attitudes toward the nuclear program and the building up of the program as a nationalistic project. He sees that the Iranian state has harnessed its people’s nationalistic emotions to support its nuclear program. The program has been presented as a nationalistic endeavor and the continuation of the nuclear program as the “people’s indisputable right”. Nationalistic rhetoric has been increasingly used after 2003 to get the Iranian people’s support for the nuclear program. He sees the nuclear program as being used as a political tool, intended to function as a bridge between the Iranian state and the people. In his opinion the Iranian nuclear program was started as an elite project, but in 2003 the situation changed, due to domestic and foreign political circumstances. After international criticism the government felt that it needed the support of the people and the nationalistic tone of the slogan of the nation’s “indisputable right” to nuclear power was used as a defense towards Western criticism. With a nationalistic campaign the voice of the Iranian people was used to build support for the nuclear program and claim Iran’s right to access nuclear energy. In the Iranian rhetoric the West was portrayed as an antagonist trying to deprive the Iranian people of its natural right to nuclear energy. The Iranian “nuclear right” has become an important political slogan in Iranian politics. In his presentation Dr. Avener Cohen concentrated on characteristically Middle Eastern patterns of nuclear arms behavior. He described his 20 years of academic work on the topic and provided a historical overview of nuclear arms in the Middle East and of Israeli Arab relations from the 1950s to this day. In his opinion the rhetoric on nuclear issues in the area tends to mask the real issues. The nuclear programs are portrayed as “peaceful” and the slogan about “having the right” to acquire nuclear energy is widely used in the rhetoric. Cohen sees that as long as the real purposes are not exposed and recognized the real problems cannot be discussed and dealt with. In his opinion the essential problems and the motivations behind the possession of weapons of mass destruction in the area stem from the hostile and unstable relations between the area states, namely Israel and the Arab states.
Cohen pointed out that as long as Iran and other states remain in politically hostile relations with Israel, and as long as Israel feels its status threatened, it will not give up its nuclear arms program. Overall, Dr. Cohen was far more pessimistic and cautious about the nuclear arms control and NTP prospects in the area than Mr. Shaker. He stated that as long as Israel as a nuclear power is not dealt with realistically, the Middle Eastern arms control programs and nuclear free zone plans will not be successful.
For full summary and additional details: http://www.upi-fiia.fi/fi/event/240/
Takaisin
Mr. Mohamed I. Shaker, Vice Chairman of the Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs
Mr. Mahmood Ahmadi, Research Affiliate, Simons Centre on Disarmament & Non-Proliferation, University of British Columbia
Dr. Avner Cohen, Public Policy Scholar, Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars
Summary of the Seminar
Professor Raimo Väyrynen, Director of the Finnish Institute of International Affairs opened the event by welcoming the discussant and participants. He pointed out that the “Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control in the Middle East” panel discussion is the opening event of the FIIA organized 3-day conference on Nuclear Weapons, arms control and Non-proliferation. Väyrynen welcomed Dr. Hiski Haukkala the president of the co-organizer Finnish International Studies Association.
In his opening words Dr. Hiski Haukkala stressed the importance of nuclear arms control for international security. He welcomed the panelists, participants and moderator of the event, Professor Robert Johansen from the Krock Institute.
Prof. Robert Johansen opened the panel discussion and underlined the importance of the topic. He welcomed the highly experienced panelists.
In his presentation Mr. Mohamed I. Shaker offered his view of the situation of nuclear arms control and of other arms of mass destruction in the Middle East. He noted that the Israeli possession of nuclear weapons has greatly influenced the climate towards nuclear weapons and the behavior of the other states in the area. The nuclear threat and uncertainty created by Israel’s acquisition of nuclear weapons forced the regional countries to respond. He stressed the Egyptian role in the Arab nuclear free zone project started in the 1970s.
Despite the recent Middle Eastern “nuclear renaissance” generated by the Iranian nuclear program, he remained confident of the successful future of the nuclear free zone and disarmament processes, under certain preconditions. He noted that the Obama administration has created new vivacity and positive winds in the area of nuclear arms control. The overall tone of Shakers presentation was hopeful and positive toward the future of nuclear arms control in the area.
In his presentation Mr. Mahmood Ahmadi provided insight on the relationship between the Iranian nuclear program and the Iranian people’s attitude towards it. Mr. Ahmadi has been conducting research on the Iranian people’s reactions and attitudes toward the nuclear program and the building up of the program as a nationalistic project. He sees that the Iranian state has harnessed its people’s nationalistic emotions to support its nuclear program. The program has been presented as a nationalistic endeavor and the continuation of the nuclear program as the “people’s indisputable right”. Nationalistic rhetoric has been increasingly used after 2003 to get the Iranian people’s support for the nuclear program. He sees the nuclear program as being used as a political tool, intended to function as a bridge between the Iranian state and the people. In his opinion the Iranian nuclear program was started as an elite project, but in 2003 the situation changed, due to domestic and foreign political circumstances. After international criticism the government felt that it needed the support of the people and the nationalistic tone of the slogan of the nation’s “indisputable right” to nuclear power was used as a defense towards Western criticism. With a nationalistic campaign the voice of the Iranian people was used to build support for the nuclear program and claim Iran’s right to access nuclear energy. In the Iranian rhetoric the West was portrayed as an antagonist trying to deprive the Iranian people of its natural right to nuclear energy. The Iranian “nuclear right” has become an important political slogan in Iranian politics. In his presentation Dr. Avener Cohen concentrated on characteristically Middle Eastern patterns of nuclear arms behavior. He described his 20 years of academic work on the topic and provided a historical overview of nuclear arms in the Middle East and of Israeli Arab relations from the 1950s to this day. In his opinion the rhetoric on nuclear issues in the area tends to mask the real issues. The nuclear programs are portrayed as “peaceful” and the slogan about “having the right” to acquire nuclear energy is widely used in the rhetoric. Cohen sees that as long as the real purposes are not exposed and recognized the real problems cannot be discussed and dealt with. In his opinion the essential problems and the motivations behind the possession of weapons of mass destruction in the area stem from the hostile and unstable relations between the area states, namely Israel and the Arab states.
Cohen pointed out that as long as Iran and other states remain in politically hostile relations with Israel, and as long as Israel feels its status threatened, it will not give up its nuclear arms program. Overall, Dr. Cohen was far more pessimistic and cautious about the nuclear arms control and NTP prospects in the area than Mr. Shaker. He stated that as long as Israel as a nuclear power is not dealt with realistically, the Middle Eastern arms control programs and nuclear free zone plans will not be successful.
For full summary and additional details: http://www.upi-fiia.fi/fi/event/240/
